Something wrong is going on the play of Davydenko. I agree that he is a great player with superb shots and reached excellent results last season especially on clay. But Hernych, Soderling and Karlovic have won Davy in last three weeks of clay season. Three of them with odds over 4. Ok Spadea is not a great claycourter but none of the names above are. Vince lost last week in Barcelona against Costa who was playing the last tournament of his career but without pressure, Albert played the best tennis of the last two years (also defeated Hrbaty and nearly Ferrero). If such a "claycourters" won Davy, why not Spadea.